Wednesday, 23 May 2018

Certainty


This is somewhat related to my arguments about consciousness, but here, I want to talk of certainty. I find it weird how atheists and materialists speak of science and reality as if it is something certain. However, that is simply untrue. As you see, what we traditionally define as certainty or a probability of 1 is never actually 1. Unless we are counting the probability of something within a system that we have complete control and knowledge of. Such as having a box full of red balls. The probability of picking up a red ball would be a guaranteed one, because we have absolute control of the balls. But what if we have no idea? What if we have no knowledge of what’s in the box. Say for years, we pick one ball from the box, and always get a red ball. Oh, and that ball is discarded away from the box. Will that experience mean that all of the balls in the box are red? No, absolutely not.

However, the probability may be near to 1, something like 0.99 something. But not 1, it’s almost certain, but why not a 1? As we don’t have complete knowledge of that box. What if there’s a ball of another color somewhere there? We don’t know, we can predict, we can believe but we can never know. Our beliefs that all of the balls is red may be backed up, but it is never a certain knowledge. The same goes for the entire world. Perhaps now we have discovered many laws that set this universe on motion. But can we say it is certain? No. Because we don’t know all of the universe, there is always a factor that is unknown, that will make it impossible for us to be absolutely certain. In fact, it is possible for the universe to be simply random and uncontrolled, and thus that would mean certainty is impossible. Of course, I’m disregarding closed artificial systems. So that’s it, there’s no such thing as certainty, right? Whoops, wrong again.

If we fail to be certain in anything else, for we do not possess all information that is to possess, we can be certain of one thing. Ourselves. If a being is conscious, that being should be able to genuinely feel and be aware of itself. We’re counted of course. And surely, the fact that we can feel and be aware of it means we exist. And thus our existence is a guaranteed certainty, a probability of 1. You would always be conscious and be awake, and thus you always exist, if you don’t exist, you wouldn’t be there to feel it. If you feel it, you exist, and you must always exist, that is something that can’t be refuted. Not even by Richard Dawkins, Daniel Dennet, Sam Harris, or Christopher Hitchens alike. I repeat, even if an infinite stretch of time lies between two periods of being conscious. That time is meaningless as you wouldn’t even be there to experience such time. And that is my final words.

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